Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 9.326772 10.804237 12.389622 14.211559 16.241535 18.427833 20.954437
2025-05-11 7.091374 8.938479 11.050557 13.624906 16.657525 20.095709 24.266608
2025-05-18 5.753768 7.798226 10.264986 13.420723 17.307853 21.895276 27.670763
2025-05-25 4.721439 6.841326 9.526889 13.113091 17.704668 23.311452 30.592523
2025-06-01 3.980774 6.135448 8.989090 12.948344 18.192043 24.785747 33.576340
2025-06-08 3.332603 5.456227 8.392015 12.615443 18.387881 25.844124 36.023532
2025-06-15 2.936770 5.075525 8.146620 12.705949 19.107543 27.566106 39.344981
2025-06-22 2.556824 4.665004 7.808095 12.619460 19.551715 28.910461 42.187444
2025-06-29 2.295904 4.402955 7.653477 12.767536 20.305873 30.675606 45.625357
2025-07-06 2.073156 4.172562 7.519102 12.922392 21.058483 32.446328 49.107767
2025-07-13 1.929586 4.056242 7.546601 13.311937 22.155451 34.719915 53.336289
2025-07-20 1.776050 3.902442 7.496513 13.569261 23.055796 36.732144 57.245632
2025-07-27 1.586674 3.662298 7.285985 13.561450 23.558822 38.197812 60.441774
2025-08-03 1.325457 3.249806 6.743738 12.974959 23.134054 38.282854 61.650069
2025-08-10 1.157048 2.994725 6.449101 12.769606 23.281472 39.201314 64.072314
2025-08-17 0.997320 2.733035 6.115822 12.470235 23.254200 39.842953 66.090533
2025-08-24 0.875060 2.532690 5.875485 12.310405 23.436113 40.796163 68.582755
2025-08-31 0.749980 2.305058 5.559346 11.990054 23.329474 41.289415 70.383821
2025-09-07 0.681611 2.199863 5.473026 12.076679 23.902324 42.851691 73.836015
2025-09-14 0.604488 2.060076 5.302550 11.993514 24.176471 43.942932 76.584932
2025-09-21 0.555040 1.983022 5.254529 12.135647 24.841072 45.670435 80.351631
2025-09-28 0.510667 1.912085 5.212443 12.284333 25.518995 47.433018 84.207497
2025-10-05 0.486846 1.894493 5.284664 12.658466 26.607566 49.888228 89.199778